Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000762 0.000811 0.000861 0.000916 0.000975 0.001037 0.001106
2025-10-12 0.000684 0.000752 0.000825 0.000908 0.001001 0.001102 0.001220
2025-10-19 0.000628 0.000710 0.000800 0.000905 0.001028 0.001165 0.001330
2025-10-26 0.000588 0.000680 0.000783 0.000909 0.001058 0.001229 0.001443
2025-11-02 0.000547 0.000645 0.000757 0.000897 0.001067 0.001268 0.001525
2025-11-09 0.000507 0.000608 0.000726 0.000876 0.001062 0.001287 0.001581
2025-11-16 0.000478 0.000582 0.000706 0.000867 0.001070 0.001320 0.001655
2025-11-23 0.000458 0.000566 0.000696 0.000868 0.001090 0.001368 0.001749
2025-11-30 0.000438 0.000548 0.000684 0.000865 0.001103 0.001407 0.001831
2025-12-07 0.000421 0.000533 0.000673 0.000863 0.001117 0.001447 0.001916
2025-12-14 0.000401 0.000514 0.000657 0.000853 0.001118 0.001469 0.001976
2025-12-21 0.000384 0.000497 0.000641 0.000843 0.001120 0.001491 0.002036
2025-12-28 0.000360 0.000471 0.000616 0.000820 0.001103 0.001490 0.002068
2026-01-04 0.000345 0.000456 0.000603 0.000813 0.001109 0.001521 0.002147
2026-01-11 0.000332 0.000444 0.000594 0.000811 0.001122 0.001561 0.002240
2026-01-18 0.000322 0.000435 0.000589 0.000814 0.001142 0.001611 0.002351
2026-01-25 0.000308 0.000421 0.000575 0.000803 0.001141 0.001632 0.002419
2026-02-01 0.000293 0.000403 0.000555 0.000785 0.001128 0.001632 0.002453
2026-02-08 0.000282 0.000391 0.000544 0.000777 0.001129 0.001655 0.002524
2026-02-15 0.000274 0.000384 0.000539 0.000778 0.001144 0.001699 0.002629
2026-02-22 0.000265 0.000375 0.000532 0.000775 0.001153 0.001733 0.002721
2026-03-01 0.000258 0.000368 0.000526 0.000774 0.001164 0.001770 0.002819
2026-03-08 0.000249 0.000357 0.000514 0.000764 0.001161 0.001786 0.002881